What’s the Covid situation trying like?
I’m very comfortable to see the variety of circumstances coming down countrywide from 400,000 a day to round 3.5 lakhs a day. I solely hope this isn’t due to the rapid antigen test which might falsely convey down the variety of circumstances. If that’s dominated out, it’s comfortable information for the nation. 400,000 was the height and we hope it can come right down to as little as 40,000 within the early weeks of June. So this can be a optimistic occurring if it’s not attributable to over utilization of fast antigen assessments.
What has been your individual expertise within the cities the place you’re at the moment current?
The demand has come down in comparison with what was there within the early weeks of April. A extreme lockdown has introduced down the journey associated load and in response to me, the RT-PCR test has come down within the nation and fast antigen assessments are being totally used. Based on me, in some states like Goa, the positivity charge is probably over 50 per cent. Mumbai is barely 10-12% optimistic. Delhi is 20% optimistic.
The development may be very clear, the positivity is coming down however is it coming down as quick because the graph depicts or have we put some efforts to convey it down quicker? That’s one thing which I might not be capable to inform, solely ICMR will be capable to reply that trying on the share of circumstances doing fast antigen assessments.
Are we prone to replicate what we did through the first wave on the identical time final yr?
No, final yr, the primary wave which peaked in September 2020 was uniformly choosing up in metro cities after which going to tier-2 cities. Right here it didn’t accomplish that. When Mumbai was burning, Bangalore was cool, Calcutta was cool, Delhi was additionally cool then. So it’s going step-by-step from one metropolis to a different metropolis. Based on me, each patterns aren’t equally comparable. The second wave is spreading a lot quicker than the primary wave. In actual fact, I preserve asking individuals if that is the second wave on the first stage or is it the primary wave on the second stage? It is extremely troublesome to match and nonetheless there are clear solutions from sequencing which tells us that that is the second stage drawback and it’s not the second wave of the primary stage.
Is the second Covid wave lower than the primary wave by way of impression?
Right now the RT PCR positivity is 400,000 in comparison with 100,000 within the first wave. So you may name it 1:4 is the RT PCR take a look at utilization. But when I have a look at Covid associated blood markers, 4 or 5 of them are there. These markers in comparison with the primary peak utilization within the second peak is actually 25 instances extra, not simply 4 instances. The attention of those markers have gone up and individuals are utilizing them due to the severity of the second wave. It is extremely vital to notice that at this time, our revenues from non-Covid testing is 40%, 20% is from RT PCR and one other 30% is from Covid-related blood an infection markers which weren’t present within the first wave as clearly as we see right here.